All papers and preprints

Associative White Matter Tracts Selectively Predict Sensorimotor Learning
Vinci-Booher, S, McDonald, DJ, Berquist, E, Pestilli, F

Communications Biology, 7, 762, 2024

Evaluation of FluSight Influenza Forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 Seasons with a New Target Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Hospitalizations
Mathis, SM, Webber, AE, León, TM, Murray, EL, et al. 

Nature Communications, 15, 6289, 2024

Rtestim: Time-Varying Reproduction Number Estimation with Trend Filtering
Liu, J, Cai, Z, Gustafson, P, McDonald, DJ

PLOS Computational Biology, 20, e1012324, 2024

Sparsegl: An R Package for Estimating Sparse Group Lasso
Liang, X, Cohen, A, Heinsfeld, AS, Pestilli, F, et al. 

Journal of Statistical Software, 110, 1–23, 2024

Exponential Family Trend Filtering on Lattices
Sadhanala, V, Bassett, R, Sharpnack, J, McDonald, DJ

Electronic Journal of Statistics, 18, 1749–1814, 2024

Incident COVID-19 Infections Before Omicron in the US
Lobay, R, Srivastava, A, Tibshirani, RJ, McDonald, DJ

Technical Report, 2024

Smooth Multi-Period Forecasting with Application to Prediction of COVID-19 Cases
Tuzhilina, E, Hastie, TJ, McDonald, DJ, Tay, JK, et al. 

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 33, 955-967, 2023

Less is More: Balancing Noise Reduction and Data Retention in fMRI with Projection Scrubbing
Pham, D, Ding, L, McDonald, DJ, Nebel, MB, et al. 

Neuroimage, 270, 119972, 2023

Empirical Macroeconomics and DSGE Modeling in Statistical Perspective
McDonald, DJ, Shalizi, CR

Technical Report, 2022

Evaluation of Individual and Ensemble Probabilistic Forecasts of COVID-19 Mortality in the United States
Cramer, EY, Ray, EL, Lopez, VK, Bracher, J, et al. 

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119, e2113561119, 2022

Sufficient Principal Component Regression for Genomics
Ding, L, Zentner, GE, McDonald, DJ

Bioinformatics Advances, 2, vbac033, 2022

An Open Repository of Real-Time COVID-19 Indicators
Reinhart, A, Brooks, L, Jahja, M, Rumack, A, et al. 

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118, e2111452118, 2021

Can Auxiliary Indicators Improve COVID-19 Forecasting and Hotspot Prediction?
McDonald, DJ, Bien, J, Green, A, Hu, AJ, et al. 

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118, e2111453118, 2021

Flexible Analysis of TSS Mapping Data and Detection of TSS Shifts with TSRexploreR
Policastro, RA, McDonald, DJ, Brendel, VP, Zentner, GE

NAR Genomics and Bioinformatics, 3, 1–10, 2021

Markov-Switching State Space Models for Uncovering Musical Interpretation
McDonald, DJ, McBride, M, Gu, Y, Raphael, C

Annals of Applied Statistics, 15, 1147–1170, 2021

Compressed and Penalized Linear Regression
Homrighausen, D, McDonald, DJ

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 29, 309–322, 2020

Book Review: Sufficient Dimension Reduction: Methods and Applications with R
McDonald, DJ

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 115, NA, 2020

Algorithms for Estimating Trends in Global Temperature Volatility
Khodadadi, A, McDonald, DJ

Proceedings of the 33rd AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-19), 2019

A Study on Tuning Parameter Selection for the High-Dimensional Lasso
Homrighausen, D, McDonald, DJ

Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 88, 2865–2892, 2018

Rademacher Complexity of Stationary Sequences
McDonald, DJ, Shalizi, CR

Technical Report, 2017

Minimax Density Estimation for Growing Dimension
McDonald, DJ

Proceedings of the Twentieth International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS), 54, 194–203, 2017

Predicting Phenotypes from Microarrays using Amplified, Initially Marginal, Eigenvector Regression
Ding, L, McDonald, DJ

Bioinformatics, 33, i350–i358, 2017

Risk Consistency of Cross-Validation for Lasso-Type Procedures
Homrighausen, D, McDonald, DJ

Statistica Sinica, 27, 1017–1036, 2017

Nonparametric Risk Bounds for Time-Series Forecasting
McDonald, DJ, Shalizi, CR, Schervish, M

Journal of Machine Learning Research, 18, 1–40, 2017

On the Nystrom and Column-Sampling Methods for the Approximate Principal Components Analysis of Large Data Sets
Homrighausen, D, McDonald, DJ

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 25, 344–362, 2016

Does Increased Sexual Frequency Enhance Happiness?
Loewenstein, G, Krishnamurti, T, Kopsic, J, McDonald, DJ

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 116, 206–218, 2015

Estimating Beta-Mixing Coefficients via Histograms
McDonald, DJ, Shalizi, CR, Schervish, M

Electronic Journal of Statistics, 9, 2855–2883, 2015

Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation is Risk Consistent for Lasso
Homrighausen, D, McDonald, DJ

Machine Learning, 97, 65–78, 2014

The Lasso, Persistence, and Cross-Validation
Homrighausen, D, McDonald, DJ

Proceedings of the Thirtieth International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 28, 1031–1039, 2013

Generalization Error Bounds for State-Space Models
McDonald, DJ

Ph.D. Dissertation, 2012

The Impact of Price Discounts and Calorie Messaging on Beverage Consumption: A Multi-Site Field Study
Jue, JJ, Press, MJ, McDonald, DJ, Volpp, KG, et al. 

Preventive Medicine, 55, 629–633, 2012

Spectral Approximations in Machine Learning
Homrighausen, D, McDonald, DJ

Technical Report, 2011

Estimated VC Dimension for Risk Bounds
McDonald, DJ, Shalizi, CR, Schervish, M

Technical Report, 2011

Generalization Error Bounds for Stationary Autoregressive Models
McDonald, DJ, Shalizi, CR, Schervish, M

Technical Report, 2011

Estimating Beta-Mixing Coefficients
McDonald, DJ, Shalizi, CR, Schervish, M

Proceedings of the Fourteenth International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS), 15, 516–524, 2011

The Behavior of Weight-Loss Study Participants in Response to Incentives
McDonald, DJ, Loewenstein, GF, Kadane, J

Technical Report, 2009